The Cascade Institute's Polycrisis research program released a groundbreaking report: Impact 2024: How Donald Trump's Reelection Could Amplify Global-Intersystemic Risk.
The report precisely assesses how a second Trump administration could supercharge global economic, geopolitical, environmental, and pandemic risks and how those risks could then combine to escalate the world's already severe polycrisis.
While many commentators have raised concerns about the impacts of a second Trump presidency on domestic American society or on particular policy domains, this report shows how Donald Trump's reelection could have harmful knock-on effects across multiple global systems.
Our world's tightly linked economic, geopolitical, technological, and environmental systems are currently under enormous stress. Given his track record as a "system disruptor", a second Trump administration could pose unique and profound threats to these systems with grave consequences for humanity.
The report uses critical-juncture analysis to assess the first- and second-order impacts of Mr. Trump's major policy proposals; it then applies feedback mapping to chart the possible compounding effects of a second Trump administration's likely actions on global polycrisis risk.
